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Leeds v Forest

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Friday, 6 February 2026, 20:00 · 2025/26
Leeds3.38 xG
31
Nottingham Forest1.66 xG

How it went

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.045′90′
Leeds 3.60Forest 1.66A filled mark is a goal
  1. 25′Jayden Bogle0.30 xG chance
  2. 29′Noah Okafor0.58 xG chance
  3. 48′Dominic Calvert-Lewin0.64 xG chance
  4. 85′Lorenzo Lucca0.55 xG chance

The shots

Every shotBy zone

Leeds 14 shots

7% of shots, 1 shot14% of shots, 2 shots14% of shots, 2 shots29% of shots, 4 shots7% of shots, 1 shot7% of shots, 1 shot14% of shots, 2 shots7% of shots, 1 shot7%14%14%29%7%7%14%7%Opponent goalLeftRight
Share of shots<1%1–2%2–4%4–6%6%+

Leeds, Leeds v Nottingham Forest, final 35m.

Nottingham Forest 16 shots

6% of shots, 1 shot6% of shots, 1 shot13% of shots, 2 shots6% of shots, 1 shot6% of shots, 1 shot6% of shots, 1 shot6% of shots, 1 shot13% of shots, 2 shots13% of shots, 2 shots13% of shots, 2 shots6% of shots, 1 shot6% of shots, 1 shot6%6%13%6%6%6%6%13%13%13%6%6%Opponent goalLeftRight
Share of shots<1%1–2%2–4%4–6%6%+

Nottingham Forest, Leeds v Nottingham Forest, final 35m.

The chances that got away

  • 0.54Noah Okafor, 23' for Leeds
  • 0.51Ilia Gruev, 65' for Leeds
  • 0.51Morato, 77' for Forest, set up by Dan Ndoye

The match, in figures

LeedsMeasureForest
3Goals1
3.38Expected goals1.66
3.38Non-penalty xG1.66
2.47Expected pointswhat those chances are worth, out of three0.39
2Half time0
14Shots16
5On target6
5Corners10
9.2Passes allowed per defensive actionlower is a higher press21.5
10Deep entriespasses completed within 20 metres of goal6
9Fouls12
1YCards1Y

Before kickoff the bookmakers’ closing prices made it 2.14 Leeds, 3.37 the draw, 3.40 Forest, which is a 47, 30 and 29 percent chance each way before the margin. Referee: P Bankes.