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Villa v Forest

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Saturday, 12 September 2026, 14:00 · Gameweek 4 · 2026/27
Aston Villa1.09 xG
12
Nottingham Forest2.79 xG

How it went

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.045′90′
Villa 1.09Forest 2.80A filled mark is a goal
  1. 45′Liam Delap0.01 xG chance
  2. 73′Alysson Edward0.25 xG chance
  3. 87′Igor Jesus0.53 xG chance

The shots

Every shotBy zone

Aston Villa 7 shots

14% of shots, 1 shot14% of shots, 1 shot14% of shots, 1 shot14% of shots, 1 shot14% of shots, 1 shot14% of shots, 1 shot14% of shots, 1 shot14%14%14%14%14%14%14%Opponent goalLeftRight
Share of shots<1%1–2%2–4%4–6%6%+

Aston Villa, Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest, final 35m.

Nottingham Forest 22 shots

5% of shots, 1 shot9% of shots, 2 shots9% of shots, 2 shots5% of shots, 1 shot5% of shots, 1 shot9% of shots, 2 shots9% of shots, 2 shots5% of shots, 1 shot5% of shots, 1 shot9% of shots, 2 shots5% of shots, 1 shot9% of shots, 2 shots5% of shots, 1 shot9% of shots, 2 shots9%9%9%9%9%9%9%Opponent goalLeftRight
Share of shots<1%1–2%2–4%4–6%6%+

Nottingham Forest, Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest, final 35m. A further 5% of their shots came from outside this window.

The chances that got away

  • 0.63Liam Delap, 57' for Forest, set up by Dan Ndoye
  • 0.60Victor Lindelöf, 6' for Villa
  • 0.54Dan Ndoye, 58' for Forest, set up by Morgan Gibbs-White

The match, in figures

VillaMeasureForest
1Goals2
1.09Expected goals2.79
1.09Non-penalty xG2.79
0.35Expected pointswhat those chances are worth, out of three2.50
0Half time0
7Shots22
5On target7
6Corners1
12.2Passes allowed per defensive actionlower is a higher press10.7
8Deep entriespasses completed within 20 metres of goal9
11Fouls16
2YCards5Y

Before kickoff the bookmakers’ closing prices made it 2.22 Villa, 3.43 the draw, 3.19 Forest, which is a 45, 29 and 31 percent chance each way before the margin. Referee: A Madley.