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Manchester City

Julián Álvarez

Forward
Non-penalty xG per 90
0.439 non-penalty goals from 98 shots
Expected assists per 90
0.208 assists, 66 key passes
Finishing
-3.26goals above what the league converts the same chances into
Build-up per 90
0.446% of Manchester City’s build-up value

Julián Álvarez ranks 31st of 402 qualified players for attacking involvement, shooting from 17.8m on average, with 21% of their danger coming from set pieces. They carry 11% of Manchester City’s attacking involvement, the 3rd largest share in the squad.

Against their position

107 forwards

Shooting

per 90
Goals
0.37
Non-penalty goals
0.30
xG
0.48
Non-penalty xG
0.43
Shots
3.29
npxG per shot
0.13
Shot distance
17.8m
Set-piece share
21%
Goals against xG
-3.9

2 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.

Creating

per 90
Assists
0.27
Expected assists
0.20
Key passes
2.21
npxG + xA
0.63
xG chain
0.91
xG build-up
0.44
Assists against xA
+2.2

On the ball

per 90

6 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.

Defending

per 90

7 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.

Discipline

per 90
Yellow cards
2season count
Red cards
0season count

3 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.

Ranked against 107 forwards with half a match a round or more, the same comparison the compare page makes. Where less is better, such as being dispossessed, the order is turned round, so a high percentile is always the good end.

This week

Gameweek 8

Next fixture

Gameweek 8

away to Aston Villa

Sat 24 Oct, 11:30 UTC

Aston Villa concede 12.1 shots a match and are 0.86× the league norm against forwards. A difficult one.

Projected shots
2.84

3.29 per 90 × 0.86

Projected on target
1.24

1.31 per 90 × 0.95

Season rate times what this opponent concedes, over a full ninety minutes. Check availability.

Shots

36 appearances
  • Over 0.532 of 3689%± 5
  • Over 1.526 of 3672%± 7
  • Over 2.516 of 3644%± 8
  • Over 3.510 of 3628%± 7

The band is one standard error, the tick the estimate. Blanks count as misses, 4 of 36.

Shooting profile

98 shots

Where they shoot

98 shots
Every shotBy zone
Opponent goalLeftRight
GoalNo goalMark area is the chance’s expected goals

Julián Álvarez, 2023/24, 98 shots in the final 35m, 11 scored.

left
22%
Centre
59%
right
19%

share of their shooting xG

Chance profile

quality, volume and route
xG per shot
0.147
Shots per 90
3.29
Key passes per 90
2.21
Average shot distance
17.8m
From set pieces
21%

How the chances arrive

Crosses
4%
Through balls
20%
Own dribble
7%
Headed
14%

Club role

Manchester City

What they are for

  • PenaltiesTakes them: 2 of 10 Manchester City were awarded.
  • Corners and set piecesSupplies 7% of Manchester City’s dead-ball danger, from 23 deliveries that became shots.
  • When it mattered6 of 11 goals came with the game level or Manchester City behind.
  • On the pitch78% of available minutes.

What would actually have to be replaced. Losing the penalty taker is not the same as losing a proportional slice of Julián Álvarez’soutput.

Chances received

who supplies them
  1. Phil Foden2.0 xG13 shots, 2g
  2. Erling Haaland1.7 xG12 shots, 1g
  3. Kyle Walker0.9 xG5 shots, 1g
  4. Bernardo Silva0.8 xG6 shots, 0g
  5. Kevin De Bruyne0.8 xG4 shots, 1g

Chances created

who they supply
  1. Erling Haaland1.8 xG15 shots, 2g
  2. Phil Foden1.2 xG13 shots, 2g
  3. Jack Grealish0.7 xG5 shots, 1g
  4. Bernardo Silva0.6 xG3 shots, 1g
  5. Rodri0.4 xG8 shots, 0g

Season record

2023/24

Involvement in build-up

excludes their own shots and final passes

Julián Álvarez carries 6.0% of Manchester City’s build-up value.

  • Build-up per 900.439
    93% of forwards
  • Possession value per 900.911
    85% of forwards

Ranked against 107 forwards with a comparable sample. Build-up is the value of possessions a player was involved in, with their own shots and final passes removed, so it credits the work before the chance rather than the chance.

Match by match

Match log

36 appearances, oldest first

at Burnley3 shots
1 on target

1g

v Newcastle1 shot
1 on target

at Sheffield Utd8 shots
3 on target

1g

v Fulham2 shots
1 on target

at West Ham2 shots
0 on target

v Forest4 shots
2 on target

1g

at Wolves2 shots
2 on target

at Arsenal2 shots
0 on target

1g

v Brighton3 shots
1 on target

at Man Utd3 shots
1 on target

v Bournemouth2 shots
0 on target

at Chelsea2 shots
1 on target

v Liverpool2 shots
0 on target

v Spurs1 shot
0 on target

at Luton3 shots
0 on target

v Palace1 shot
1 on target

1g

at Everton5 shots
4 on target

1g

v Sheffield Utd4 shots
1 on target

at Newcastle6 shots
3 on target

2g

v Burnley2 shots
2 on target

at Brentford5 shots
5 on target

v Everton2 shots
0 on target

v Chelsea5 shots
0 on target

v Brentford3 shots
0 on target

at Liverpool2 shots
1 on target

v Villa7 shots
3 on target

at Palace4 shots
1 on target

v Luton3 shots
1 on target

1g

at Brighton6 shots
2 on target

at Forest1 shot
0 on target

1g

v Wolves1 shot
1 on target

1g

at Fulham1 shot
1 on target

4 blanksno shot
not placed

Height is shots, solid is on target, and the dashed rule is the 1.5 line. The feed cannot date an appearance with no shot in it, so 4 sits at the end, counted but unplaced.

How to read the ties. Each rate ties back to the league average: solid where the sample is settled, broken where it is still being shrunk toward the league, an open circle where there is no cohort to rank against.