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Ollie Watkins

Forward30 yrs
Unavailable
Non-penalty xG per 90
0.5814 non-penalty goals from 84 shots
Expected assists per 90
0.138 assists, 25 key passes
Finishing
-1.43goals above what the league converts the same chances into
Build-up per 90
0.113% of Aston Villa’s build-up value

Ollie Watkins ranks 17th of 397 qualified players for attacking involvement, shooting from 12.4m on average, with 30% of their danger coming from set pieces. They carry 15% of Aston Villa’s attacking involvement, the largest share in the squad.

Unavailable. Has joined Al Hilal permanently. The rates below describe what he did, not what he is about to do. Club status as of 18 Oct 2026.

Against their position

104 forwards

Shooting

per 90
Goals
0.54
Non-penalty goals
0.47
xG
0.63
Non-penalty xG
0.58
Shots
2.84
npxG per shot
0.20
Shot distance
12.4m
Set-piece share
30%
Goals against xG
-3.1

2 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2024/25.

Creating

per 90
Assists
0.27
Expected assists
0.13
Key passes
0.84
npxG + xA
0.71
xG chain
0.64
xG build-up
0.11
Assists against xA
+4.1

On the ball

per 90

6 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2024/25.

Defending

per 90

7 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2024/25.

Discipline

per 90
Yellow cards
2season count
Red cards
0season count

3 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2024/25.

Ranked against 104 forwards with half a match a round or more, the same comparison the compare page makes. Where less is better, such as being dispossessed, the order is turned round, so a high percentile is always the good end.

This week

Gameweek 8

Next fixture

Gameweek 8

vs Manchester City

Sat 24 Oct, 11:30 UTC

Manchester City concede 9.3 shots a match and are 0.75× the league norm against forwards. A difficult one.

Projected shots
2.09

2.84 per 90 × 0.74

Projected on target
0.98

1.28 per 90 × 0.76

Season rate times what this opponent concedes, over a full ninety minutes. Check availability.

Shots

38 appearances
  • Over 0.529 of 3876%± 7
  • Over 1.524 of 3863%± 8
  • Over 2.514 of 3837%± 8
  • Over 3.59 of 3824%± 7

The band is one standard error, the tick the estimate. Blanks count as misses, 9 of 38.

Shooting profile

84 shots

Where they shoot

84 shots
4% of shots, 3 shots2% of shots, 2 shots1% of shots, 1 shot2% of shots, 2 shots2% of shots, 2 shots18% of shots, 15 shots14% of shots, 12 shots7% of shots, 6 shots2% of shots, 2 shots11% of shots, 9 shots11% of shots, 9 shots10% of shots, 8 shots7% of shots, 6 shots1% of shots, 1 shot2% of shots, 2 shots2% of shots, 2 shots1% of shots, 1 shot1% of shots, 1 shot18%14%7%11%11%10%7%Opponent goalLeftRight
Share of shots<1%1–2%2–4%4–6%6%+

Ollie Watkins, 2024/25, final 35m.

left
24%
Centre
60%
right
15%

share of their shooting xG

Chance profile

quality, volume and route
xG per shot
0.222
Shots per 90
2.84
Key passes per 90
0.84
Average shot distance
12.4m
From set pieces
30%

How the chances arrive

Crosses
22%
Through balls
10%
Own dribble
7%
Headed
23%

Club role

Aston Villa

What they are for

  • PenaltiesTakes them: 2 of 6 Aston Villa were awarded.
  • When it mattered15 of 16 goals came with the game level or Aston Villa behind.
  • On the pitch78% of available minutes.

What would actually have to be replaced. Losing the penalty taker is not the same as losing a proportional slice of Ollie Watkins’output.

Chances received

who supplies them
  1. Morgan Rogers3.6 xG19 shots, 3g
  2. Lucas Digne2.7 xG12 shots, 2g
  3. Youri Tielemans1.6 xG8 shots, 3g
  4. John McGinn1.3 xG5 shots, 1g
  5. Leon Bailey1.0 xG4 shots, 1g

Chances created

who they supply
  1. Morgan Rogers1.1 xG9 shots, 4g
  2. Ross Barkley0.7 xG1 shot, 0g
  3. Amadou Onana0.6 xG1 shot, 1g
  4. Ian Maatsen0.3 xG1 shot, 1g
  5. Jacob Ramsey0.2 xG2 shots, 1g

Season record

2024/25

Involvement in build-up

excludes their own shots and final passes

Ollie Watkins carries 2.6% of Aston Villa’s build-up value.

  • Build-up per 900.111
    13% of forwards
  • Possession value per 900.638
    57% of forwards

Ranked against 104 forwards with a comparable sample. Build-up is the value of possessions a player was involved in, with their own shots and final passes removed, so it credits the work before the chance rather than the chance.

Match by match

Match log

38 appearances, oldest first

v Arsenal2 shots
1 on target

at Leicester2 shots
1 on target

2g

v Everton6 shots
3 on target

1g

v Wolves3 shots
1 on target

1g

at Ipswich1 shot
1 on target

v Man Utd2 shots
0 on target

1g

at Fulham2 shots
2 on target

v Bournemouth3 shots
2 on target

at Spurs2 shots
0 on target

at Liverpool3 shots
0 on target

1g

v Palace5 shots
2 on target

at Chelsea2 shots
2 on target

1g

v Brentford6 shots
4 on target

v Southampton4 shots
0 on target

v Man City1 shot
1 on target

1g

v Brighton6 shots
3 on target

v Leicester2 shots
0 on target

1g

at Everton2 shots
1 on target

1g

at Arsenal3 shots
1 on target

v West Ham2 shots
1 on target

1g

v Ipswich4 shots
1 on target

1g

v Liverpool1 shot
1 on target

v Chelsea4 shots
2 on target

1g

at Brentford4 shots
2 on target

1g

at Southampton1 shot
1 on target

1g

v Newcastle5 shots
1 on target

v Fulham2 shots
1 on target

1g

at Bournemouth1 shot
1 on target

v Spurs3 shots
2 on target

9 blanksno shot
not placed

Height is shots, solid is on target, and the dashed rule is the 1.5 line. The feed cannot date an appearance with no shot in it, so 9 sits at the end, counted but unplaced.

How to read the ties. Each rate ties back to the league average: solid where the sample is settled, broken where it is still being shrunk toward the league, an open circle where there is no cohort to rank against.