+3.83goals above what the league converts the same chances into
Build-up per 90
0.285% of Aston Villa’s build-up value
league 0.28
Leon Bailey ranks 19th of 402 qualified players for attacking involvement, shooting from 17.2m on average. They carry 13% of Aston Villa’s attacking involvement, the 2nd largest share in the squad.
Unavailable. Has joined Olympiakos permanently. The rates below describe what he did, not what he is about to do. Club status as of 17 Oct 2026.
Against their position
107 forwards
Shooting
per 90
Goals
0.4371st
Non-penalty goals
0.4374th
xG
0.2836th
Non-penalty xG
0.2840th
Shots
2.2646th
npxG per shot
0.1240th
Shot distance
17.2m32nd
Set-piece share
6%20th
Goals against xG
+3.596th
2 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.
Creating
per 90
Assists
0.3896th
Expected assists
0.4499th
Key passes
2.1787th
npxG + xA
0.7185th
xG chain
0.7771st
xG build-up
0.2868th
Assists against xA
-1.323rd
On the ball
per 90
6 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.
Defending
per 90
7 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.
Discipline
per 90
Yellow cards
5season count
Red cards
0season count
3 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.
Ranked against 107 forwards with half a match a round or more, the same comparison the compare page makes. Where less is better, such as being dispossessed, the order is turned round, so a high percentile is always the good end.
This week
Gameweek 8
Next fixture
Gameweek 8
vsManchester City
Sat 24 Oct, 11:30 UTC
Manchester City concede 7.8 shots a match and are 0.76× the league norm against forwards. A difficult one.
Projected shots
1.49
2.26 per 90 × 0.66
Projected on target
0.46
0.77 per 90 × 0.60
Season rate times what this opponent concedes, over a full ninety minutes. Check availability.
Shots
35 appearances
Over 0.527 of 3577%± 7
Over 1.516 of 3546%± 8
Over 2.58 of 3523%± 7
Over 3.51 of 353%± 3
The band is one standard error, the tick the estimate. Blanks count as misses, 8 of 35.
Corners and set piecesSupplies 15% of Aston Villa’s dead-ball danger, from 10 deliveries that became shots.
When it mattered4 of 10 goals came with the game level or Aston Villa behind.
On the pitch62% of available minutes.
What would actually have to be replaced. Losing the penalty taker is not the same as losing a proportional slice of Leon Bailey’soutput.
Chances received
who supplies them
Moussa Diaby1.6 xG7 shots, 1g
Ollie Watkins1.3 xG6 shots, 4g
Youri Tielemans0.8 xG6 shots, 2g
Lucas Digne0.4 xG5 shots, 1g
John McGinn0.2 xG4 shots, 0g
Chances created
who they supply
Ollie Watkins3.3 xG14 shots, 4g
John McGinn1.6 xG7 shots, 2g
Diego Carlos1.3 xG2 shots, 0g
Moussa Diaby1.0 xG6 shots, 1g
Jacob Ramsey0.9 xG5 shots, 0g
Season record
2023/24
Involvement in build-up
excludes their own shots and final passes
Leon Bailey carries 4.7%of Aston Villa’s build-up value.
Build-up per 900.284
67% of forwards
Possession value per 900.767
71% of forwards
Ranked against 107 forwards with a comparable sample. Build-up is the value of possessions a player was involved in, with their own shots and final passes removed, so it credits the work before the chance rather than the chance.
Match by match
Match log
35 appearances, oldest first
over 1.5
1g
v Everton2 shots 1 on target
1g
v Palace2 shots 1 on target
1g
v West Ham2 shots 1 on target
v Luton1 shot 0 on target
at Forest3 shots 0 on target
v Fulham1 shot 0 on target
at Spurs3 shots 1 on target
1g
at Bournemouth2 shots 1 on target
1g
v Man City5 shots 3 on target
v Sheffield Utd1 shot 0 on target
at Man Utd2 shots 1 on target
1g
v Burnley3 shots 1 on target
at Everton1 shot 1 on target
v Newcastle1 shot 0 on target
1g
at Sheffield Utd2 shots 1 on target
v Man Utd2 shots 0 on target
at Fulham3 shots 0 on target
1g
v Forest3 shots 2 on target
at Luton1 shot 1 on target
v Spurs1 shot 0 on target
at West Ham3 shots 0 on target
v Wolves1 shot 0 on target
v Brentford2 shots 0 on target
1g
at Arsenal1 shot 1 on target
1g
v Bournemouth1 shot 1 on target
v Chelsea1 shot 1 on target
v Liverpool3 shots 0 on target
8 blanksno shot not placed
Height is shots, solid is on target, and the dashed rule is the 1.5 line. The feed cannot date an appearance with no shot in it, so 8 sits at the end, counted but unplaced.
How to read the ties. Each rate ties back to the league average: solid where the sample is settled, broken where it is still being shrunk toward the league, an open circle where there is no cohort to rank against.