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Harry Toffolo

Defender
Non-penalty xG per 90
0.091 non-penalty goals from 8 shots
Expected assists per 90
0.093 assists, 18 key passes
Finishing
-0.34goals above what the league converts the same chances into
Build-up per 90
0.173% of Nottingham Forest’s build-up value

Harry Toffolo ranks 200th of 402 qualified players for attacking involvement, shooting from 14.4m on average, with 39% of their danger coming from set pieces. They carry 2% of Nottingham Forest’s attacking involvement, the 12th largest share in the squad.

Against their position

135 defenders

Shooting

per 90
Goals
0.06
Non-penalty goals
0.06
xG
0.09
Non-penalty xG
0.09
Shots
0.50
npxG per shot
–not ranked
Shot distance
–not ranked
Set-piece share
–not ranked
Goals against xG
-0.4

2 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.

Creating

per 90
Assists
0.19
Expected assists
0.09
Key passes
1.13
npxG + xA
0.18
xG chain
0.26
xG build-up
0.17
Assists against xA
+1.5

On the ball

per 90

6 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.

Defending

per 90

7 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.

Discipline

per 90
Yellow cards
3season count
Red cards
0season count

3 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.

Ranked against 135 defenders with half a match a round or more, the same comparison the compare page makes. Where less is better, such as being dispossessed, the order is turned round, so a high percentile is always the good end.

This week

Gameweek 7

Next fixture

Gameweek 7

vs Arsenal

Sun 18 Oct, 15:30 UTC

Arsenal concede 8.6 shots a match and are 0.64× the league norm against defenders. A difficult one.

Projected shots
0.32

0.50 per 90 × 0.63

Projected on target
0.14

0.31 per 90 × 0.46

Season rate times what this opponent concedes, over a full ninety minutes. Check availability.

Shots

23 appearances
  • Over 0.55 of 2322%± 9
  • Over 1.52 of 239%± 6
  • Over 2.51 of 234%± 4
  • Over 3.50 of 230%± 0

The band is one standard error, the tick the estimate. Blanks count as misses, 18 of 23.

Shooting profile

8 shots

Where they shoot

8 shots
25% of shots, 2 shots25% of shots, 2 shots13% of shots, 1 shot13% of shots, 1 shot13% of shots, 1 shot13% of shots, 1 shot25%25%13%13%13%13%Opponent goalLeftRight
Share of shots<1%1–2%2–4%4–6%6%+

Harry Toffolo, 2023/24, final 35m.

left
9%
Centre
85%
right
6%

share of their shooting xG

Chance profile

quality, volume and route
xG per shot
0.176
Shots per 90
0.50
Key passes per 90
1.13
Average shot distance
14.4m
From set pieces
39%

How the chances arrive

Crosses
70%
Through balls
0%
Own dribble
0%
Headed
79%

Club role

Nottingham Forest

What they are for

  • Open-play crosses5 crosses from open play became shots, worth 0.59 xG.
  • Corners and set piecesSupplies 7% of Nottingham Forest’s dead-ball danger, from 8 deliveries that became shots.
  • On the pitch42% of available minutes.

What would actually have to be replaced. Losing the penalty taker is not the same as losing a proportional slice of Harry Toffolo’soutput.

Chances received

who supplies them
  1. Neco Williams0.7 xG2 shots, 1g
  2. Morgan Gibbs-White0.5 xG1 shot, 0g
  3. Anthony Elanga0.1 xG1 shot, 0g

Chances created

who they supply
  1. Anthony Elanga0.4 xG2 shots, 0g
  2. Danilo0.2 xG1 shot, 0g
  3. Taiwo Awoniyi0.2 xG3 shots, 0g
  4. Chris Wood0.2 xG2 shots, 0g
  5. Morgan Gibbs-White0.1 xG1 shot, 0g

Season record

2023/24

Involvement in build-up

excludes their own shots and final passes

Harry Toffolo carries 3.0% of Nottingham Forest’s build-up value.

  • Build-up per 900.170
    21% of defenders
  • Possession value per 900.261
    35% of defenders

Ranked against 135 defenders with a comparable sample. Build-up is the value of possessions a player was involved in, with their own shots and final passes removed, so it credits the work before the chance rather than the chance.

Match by match

Match log

23 appearances, oldest first

at Palace1 shot
1 on target

v Luton1 shot
1 on target

v Brighton1 shot
1 on target

1g

at Wolves2 shots
1 on target

v Spurs3 shots
1 on target

18 blanksno shot
not placed

Height is shots, solid is on target, and the dashed rule is the 1.5 line. The feed cannot date an appearance with no shot in it, so 18 sits at the end, counted but unplaced.

How to read the ties. Each rate ties back to the league average: solid where the sample is settled, broken where it is still being shrunk toward the league, an open circle where there is no cohort to rank against.