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Danny Welbeck

Forward35 yrs
Non-penalty xG per 90
0.4112 non-penalty goals from 56 shots
Expected assists per 90
0.091 assists, 20 key passes
Finishing
+2.79goals above what the league converts the same chances into
Build-up per 90
0.194% of Brighton’s build-up value

Danny Welbeck ranks 42nd of 398 qualified players for attacking involvement, shooting from 13.3m on average, with 32% of their danger coming from set pieces. They carry 11% of Brighton’s attacking involvement, the largest share in the squad.

Against their position

109 forwards

Shooting

per 90
Goals
0.51
Non-penalty goals
0.47
xG
0.50
Non-penalty xG
0.41
Shots
2.20
npxG per shot
0.19
Shot distance
13.3m
Set-piece share
32%
Goals against xG
+1.6

2 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2025/26.

Creating

per 90
Assists
0.04
Expected assists
0.09
Key passes
0.79
npxG + xA
0.50
xG chain
0.59
xG build-up
0.19
Assists against xA
-1.3

On the ball

per 90

6 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2025/26.

Defending

per 90
Recoveries
1.96
Defensive contribution
4.48

7 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2025/26.

Discipline

per 90
Yellow cards
5season count
Red cards
0season count

3 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2025/26.

Ranked against 109 forwards with half a match a round or more, the same comparison the compare page makes. Where less is better, such as being dispossessed, the order is turned round, so a high percentile is always the good end. Recoveries and defensive contribution come from the FPL feed and are ranked in its own positions.

This week

Gameweek 8

Next fixture

Gameweek 8

vs Tottenham

Sat 24 Oct, 16:30 UTC

Tottenham concede 12.3 shots a match and are 1.05× the league norm against forwards. Roughly an average matchup.

Projected shots
2.23

2.20 per 90 × 1.01

Projected on target
1.00

1.02 per 90 × 0.98

Season rate times what this opponent concedes, over a full ninety minutes. Check availability.

Shots

37 appearances
  • Over 0.525 of 3768%± 8
  • Over 1.520 of 3754%± 8
  • Over 2.59 of 3724%± 7
  • Over 3.52 of 375%± 4

The band is one standard error, the tick the estimate. Blanks count as misses, 12 of 37.

Shooting profile

56 shots

Where they shoot

56 shots
Opponent goalLeftRight
GoalNo goalMark area is the chance’s expected goals

Danny Welbeck, 2025/26, 55 shots in the final 35m, 13 scored.

left
17%
Centre
77%
right
6%

share of their shooting xG

Chance profile

quality, volume and route
xG per shot
0.227
Shots per 90
2.20
Key passes per 90
0.79
Average shot distance
13.3m
From set pieces
32%

How the chances arrive

Crosses
19%
Through balls
4%
Own dribble
2%
Headed
20%

Club role

Brighton

What they are for

  • PenaltiesTakes them: 3 of 5 Brighton were awarded.
  • When it mattered10 of 13 goals came with the game level or Brighton behind.
  • On the pitch67% of available minutes.

What would actually have to be replaced. Losing the penalty taker is not the same as losing a proportional slice of Danny Welbeck’soutput.

Chances received

who supplies them
  1. Yankuba Minteh1.9 xG9 shots, 2g
  2. Jack Hinshelwood1.3 xG5 shots, 2g
  3. Pascal Groß1.1 xG6 shots, 0g
  4. Maxim De Cuyper1.0 xG4 shots, 1g
  5. Kaoru Mitoma0.7 xG3 shots, 0g

Chances created

who they supply
  1. Kaoru Mitoma0.8 xG3 shots, 0g
  2. Yankuba Minteh0.7 xG3 shots, 0g
  3. Jack Hinshelwood0.5 xG4 shots, 1g
  4. Yasin Ayari0.1 xG2 shots, 0g
  5. Diego Gómez0.1 xG3 shots, 0g

Season record

2025/26

Involvement in build-up

excludes their own shots and final passes

Danny Welbeck carries 3.9% of Brighton’s build-up value.

  • Build-up per 900.189
    57% of forwards
  • Possession value per 900.590
    65% of forwards

Ranked against 109 forwards with a comparable sample. Build-up is the value of possessions a player was involved in, with their own shots and final passes removed, so it credits the work before the chance rather than the chance.

Match by match

Match log

37 appearances, oldest first

at Everton2 shots
1 on target

at Bournemouth1 shot
0 on target

v Spurs1 shot
0 on target

2g

at Chelsea3 shots
2 on target

2g

v Newcastle2 shots
2 on target

1g

at Man Utd3 shots
2 on target

1g

v Leeds2 shots
1 on target

1g

v Brentford4 shots
1 on target

at Forest2 shots
0 on target

v Villa3 shots
1 on target

v West Ham2 shots
1 on target

1g

at West Ham3 shots
1 on target

at Fulham2 shots
1 on target

v Everton3 shots
1 on target

at Villa1 shot
1 on target

1g

at Brentford1 shot
1 on target

1g

v Forest3 shots
1 on target

at Sunderland2 shots
1 on target

2g

v Liverpool3 shots
2 on target

at Burnley4 shots
2 on target

at Spurs2 shots
1 on target

1g

v Chelsea1 shot
1 on target

at Newcastle2 shots
0 on target

v Wolves2 shots
2 on target

at Leeds2 shots
0 on target

12 blanksno shot
not placed

Height is shots, solid is on target, and the dashed rule is the 1.5 line. The feed cannot date an appearance with no shot in it, so 12 sits at the end, counted but unplaced.

How to read the ties. Each rate ties back to the league average: solid where the sample is settled, broken where it is still being shrunk toward the league, an open circle where there is no cohort to rank against.