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Nottingham Forest

Danilo

Forward
Non-penalty xG per 90
0.082 non-penalty goals from 23 shots
Expected assists per 90
0.082 assists, 20 key passes
Finishing
+0.41goals above what the league converts the same chances into
Build-up per 90
0.409% of Nottingham Forest’s build-up value

Danilo ranks 221st of 402 qualified players for attacking involvement, shooting from 20.5m on average, with 21% of their danger coming from set pieces. They carry 6% of Nottingham Forest’s attacking involvement, the 6th largest share in the squad.

Against their position

107 forwards

Shooting

per 90
Goals
0.10
Non-penalty goals
0.10
xG
0.08
Non-penalty xG
0.08
Shots
1.15
npxG per shot
0.07
Shot distance
20.5m
Set-piece share
21%
Goals against xG
+0.3

2 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.

Creating

per 90
Assists
0.10
Expected assists
0.08
Key passes
1.00
npxG + xA
0.16
xG chain
0.51
xG build-up
0.40
Assists against xA
+0.5

On the ball

per 90

6 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.

Defending

per 90

7 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.

Discipline

per 90
Yellow cards
4season count
Red cards
0season count

3 figures here come from match-event data, which is not recorded for 2023/24.

Ranked against 107 forwards with half a match a round or more, the same comparison the compare page makes. Where less is better, such as being dispossessed, the order is turned round, so a high percentile is always the good end.

This week

Gameweek 7

Next fixture

Gameweek 7

vs Arsenal

Sun 18 Oct, 15:30 UTC

Arsenal concede 8.6 shots a match and are 0.63× the league norm against forwards. A difficult one.

Projected shots
0.72

1.15 per 90 × 0.63

Projected on target
0.16

0.35 per 90 × 0.46

Season rate times what this opponent concedes, over a full ninety minutes. Check availability.

Shots

29 appearances
  • Over 0.513 of 2945%± 9
  • Over 1.56 of 2921%± 8
  • Over 2.53 of 2910%± 6
  • Over 3.51 of 293%± 3

The band is one standard error, the tick the estimate. Blanks count as misses, 16 of 29.

Shooting profile

23 shots

Where they shoot

23 shots
Every shotBy zone
4% of shots, 1 shot9% of shots, 2 shots4% of shots, 1 shot4% of shots, 1 shot4% of shots, 1 shot4% of shots, 1 shot4% of shots, 1 shot9% of shots, 2 shots13% of shots, 3 shots9% of shots, 2 shots13% of shots, 3 shots4% of shots, 1 shot4% of shots, 1 shot4% of shots, 1 shot9% of shots, 2 shots9%9%13%9%13%9%Opponent goalLeftRight
Share of shots<1%1–2%2–4%4–6%6%+

Danilo, 2023/24, final 35m.

left
32%
Centre
57%
right
11%

share of their shooting xG

Chance profile

quality, volume and route
xG per shot
0.072
Shots per 90
1.15
Key passes per 90
1.00
Average shot distance
20.5m
From set pieces
21%

How the chances arrive

Crosses
2%
Through balls
2%
Own dribble
12%
Headed
2%

Club role

Nottingham Forest

What they are for

  • On the pitch53% of available minutes.

What would actually have to be replaced. Losing the penalty taker is not the same as losing a proportional slice of Danilo’soutput.

Chances received

who supplies them
  1. Harry Toffolo0.2 xG1 shot, 0g
  2. Callum Hudson-Odoi0.1 xG3 shots, 0g
  3. Anthony Elanga0.1 xG2 shots, 0g
  4. Giovanni Reyna0.1 xG1 shot, 0g
  5. Chris Wood0.1 xG1 shot, 0g

Chances created

who they supply
  1. Orel Mangala0.4 xG1 shot, 0g
  2. Morgan Gibbs-White0.4 xG4 shots, 1g
  3. Callum Hudson-Odoi0.4 xG7 shots, 1g
  4. Ryan Yates0.1 xG4 shots, 0g
  5. Chris Wood0.1 xG1 shot, 0g

Season record

2023/24

Involvement in build-up

excludes their own shots and final passes

Danilo carries 8.8% of Nottingham Forest’s build-up value.

  • Build-up per 900.400
    87% of forwards
  • Possession value per 900.512
    36% of forwards

Ranked against 107 forwards with a comparable sample. Build-up is the value of possessions a player was involved in, with their own shots and final passes removed, so it credits the work before the chance rather than the chance.

Match by match

Match log

29 appearances, oldest first

v Sheffield Utd2 shots
0 on target

at Man Utd1 shot
1 on target

v Brighton1 shot
0 on target

v Spurs1 shot
0 on target

v Man Utd1 shot
0 on target

1g

at Brentford2 shots
1 on target

v Arsenal1 shot
0 on target

v West Ham4 shots
2 on target

at Villa1 shot
0 on target

v Fulham2 shots
0 on target

1g

v Wolves3 shots
3 on target

at Sheffield Utd3 shots
0 on target

v Chelsea1 shot
0 on target

16 blanksno shot
not placed

Height is shots, solid is on target, and the dashed rule is the 1.5 line. The feed cannot date an appearance with no shot in it, so 16 sits at the end, counted but unplaced.

How to read the ties. Each rate ties back to the league average: solid where the sample is settled, broken where it is still being shrunk toward the league, an open circle where there is no cohort to rank against.