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Aston Villa · 2023/24

Ollie Watkins

npxG per 90
0.53
19 non-penalty goals
xA per 90
0.21
13 assists · 45 key passes
Finishing
+0.6
vs league conversion rate
Build-up per 90
0.16
3250 minutes · 37 games

Ollie Watkins ranks 17th of 402 qualified players for attacking involvement, shooting from 13.3m on average. They carry 22% of Aston Villa’s attacking output, the largest share in the squad.

This week

Next fixture

Gameweek 2

vs Arsenal

Mon 31 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Arsenal concede 8.6 shots a match and are 0.63× the league norm against forwards. A difficult one.

Projected shots
1.85

2.94 per 90 × 0.63

Projected on target
0.58

1.27 per 90 × 0.46

Season rate multiplied by what this opponent concedes relative to the league. It assumes a full ninety minutes and takes no account of rotation, so check availability before reading anything into it.

Shots

37 appearances
  • Over 0.595%± 4
  • Over 1.586%± 6
  • Over 2.554%± 8
  • Over 3.532%± 8

Share of appearances clearing each line, with one standard error. Blank appearances count as misses, 2 of 37 here, so these are lower, and more honest, than rates built only from matches where the player got a shot away.

Shots on target

37 appearances
  • Over 0.578%± 7
  • Over 1.532%± 8
  • Over 2.58%± 4

Share of appearances clearing each line, with one standard error. Blank appearances count as misses, 2 of 37 here, so these are lower, and more honest, than rates built only from matches where the player got a shot away.

Where the shots come from

Where they shoot

106 shots
0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots3% of shots · 3 shots2% of shots · 2 shots7% of shots · 7 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots1% of shots · 1 shot3% of shots · 3 shots10% of shots · 11 shots15% of shots · 16 shots6% of shots · 6 shots1% of shots · 1 shot0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots2% of shots · 2 shots8% of shots · 8 shots7% of shots · 7 shots4% of shots · 4 shots9% of shots · 10 shots1% of shots · 1 shot0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots1% of shots · 1 shot4% of shots · 4 shots1% of shots · 1 shot8% of shots · 9 shots1% of shots · 1 shot1% of shots · 1 shot0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots2% of shots · 2 shots3% of shots · 3 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots1% of shots · 1 shot0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots1% of shots · 1 shot0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots0% of shots · 0 shots7%10%15%8%7%9%8%Opponent goalLeftRight
Share of shots<1%1–2%2–4%4–6%6%+

Ollie Watkins, 2023/24 · final 35m.

left
21%
Centre
58%
right
21%

share of their shooting xG

Chance quality

xG per shot, distance, how they arrive
xG per shot
0.182
Shots per 90
2.94
Key passes per 90
1.25
Average shot distance
13.3m
From set pieces
7%

How their chances arrive

Crosses
13%
Through balls
25%
Own dribble
3%
Headed
15%

What they are for

Roles

penalties, set pieces, crossing, partnerships
  • When it mattered11 of 19 goals came with the game level or Aston Villa behind.
  • On the pitch95% of the minutes available to them.

Partnerships

  • Feeds Moussa Diaby13 shots, 2.56 xG
  • Fed by Moussa Diaby19 shots, 3.80 xG
  • Fed by Leon Bailey14 shots, 3.30 xG
  • Fed by John McGinn16 shots, 3.13 xG

A share of the attack says how much runs through Ollie Watkins. These say what would have to be replaced. Losing the penalty taker or the corner deliverer is not the same as losing a proportional slice of output, and a partnership cuts both ways: the supplier being absent damages the finisher’s numbers too.

Who they play with

Chances received

who supplies them
  1. Moussa Diaby3.8 xG19 shots · 2g
  2. Leon Bailey3.3 xG14 shots · 4g
  3. John McGinn3.1 xG16 shots · 3g
  4. Matthew Cash1.7 xG5 shots · 1g
  5. Douglas Luiz1.5 xG10 shots · 2g

Chances created

who they supply
  1. Moussa Diaby2.6 xG13 shots · 3g
  2. Leon Bailey1.3 xG6 shots · 4g
  3. Matthew Cash1.0 xG3 shots · 1g
  4. Nicolo Zaniolo0.8 xG3 shots · 0g
  5. Youri Tielemans0.6 xG4 shots · 1g

Season record

Involvement in build-up

excludes their own shots and final passes

Ollie Watkins carries 4.2% of Aston Villa’s build-up value.

  • Build-up per 900.163
    38% of forwards
  • Possession value per 900.809
    75% of forwards

Ranked against 107 forwards with a comparable sample. Build-up is the value of possessions a player was involved in with their own shots and final passes removed, so it credits the work before the chance. It is a possession-value measure rather than a passing one: it cannot tell a forty-yard carry from two sideways balls, because no pass or carry record exists in this data.

Match log

most recent first
  • at Crystal Palace
    2 shots0 OT
  • vs Liverpool
    2 shots0 OT
  • vs Chelsea
    3 shots2 OT
  • vs Bournemouth
    4 shots1 OT
  • at Arsenal1g
    4 shots1 OT
  • vs Brentford2g
    2 shots2 OT
  • vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
    1 shot0 OT
  • at West Ham
    2 shots1 OT
  • vs Tottenham
    1 shot0 OT
  • at Luton2g
    5 shots4 OT

Solid marks are on target, faded ones off. 2 further appearances produced no shot and are not listed, but are counted in the rates above.