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Aston Villa · 2024/25

Ollie Watkins

npxG per 90
0.58
14 non-penalty goals
xA per 90
0.13
8 assists · 25 key passes
Finishing
-1.4
vs league conversion rate
Build-up per 90
0.11
2666 minutes · 38 games

Ollie Watkins ranks 17th of 397 qualified players for attacking involvement, shooting from 12.4m on average, with 30% of their danger coming from set pieces. They carry 18% of Aston Villa’s attacking output, the largest share in the squad.

This week

Next fixture

Gameweek 2

vs Arsenal

Mon 31 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Arsenal concede 9.6 shots a match and are 0.67× the league norm against forwards. A difficult one.

Projected shots
2.00

2.84 per 90 × 0.71

Projected on target
0.91

1.28 per 90 × 0.71

Season rate multiplied by what this opponent concedes relative to the league. It assumes a full ninety minutes and takes no account of rotation, so check availability before reading anything into it.

Shots

38 appearances
  • Over 0.576%± 7
  • Over 1.563%± 8
  • Over 2.537%± 8
  • Over 3.524%± 7

Share of appearances clearing each line, with one standard error. Blank appearances count as misses, 9 of 38 here, so these are lower, and more honest, than rates built only from matches where the player got a shot away.

Shots on target

38 appearances
  • Over 0.563%± 8
  • Over 1.526%± 7
  • Over 2.58%± 4

Share of appearances clearing each line, with one standard error. Blank appearances count as misses, 9 of 38 here, so these are lower, and more honest, than rates built only from matches where the player got a shot away.

Where the shots come from

Where they shoot

84 shots
Opponent goalLeftRight
GoalNo goalMark area is the chance’s expected goals

Ollie Watkins, 2024/25 · 84 shots in the final 35m, 16 scored. Shape carries the outcome rather than colour, so it reads in print and to anyone who cannot separate the hues.

left
24%
Centre
60%
right
15%

share of their shooting xG

Chance quality

xG per shot, distance, how they arrive
xG per shot
0.222
Shots per 90
2.84
Key passes per 90
0.84
Average shot distance
12.4m
From set pieces
30%

How their chances arrive

Crosses
22%
Through balls
10%
Own dribble
7%
Headed
23%

What they are for

Roles

penalties, set pieces, crossing, partnerships
  • PenaltiesTakes them: 2 of 6 Aston Villa were awarded.
  • When it mattered15 of 16 goals came with the game level or Aston Villa behind.
  • On the pitch78% of the minutes available to them.

Partnerships

  • Fed by Morgan Rogers19 shots, 3.56 xG
  • Fed by Lucas Digne12 shots, 2.69 xG
  • Fed by Youri Tielemans8 shots, 1.59 xG
  • Fed by John McGinn5 shots, 1.29 xG

A share of the attack says how much runs through Ollie Watkins. These say what would have to be replaced. Losing the penalty taker or the corner deliverer is not the same as losing a proportional slice of output, and a partnership cuts both ways: the supplier being absent damages the finisher’s numbers too.

Who they play with

Chances received

who supplies them
  1. Morgan Rogers3.6 xG19 shots · 3g
  2. Lucas Digne2.7 xG12 shots · 2g
  3. Youri Tielemans1.6 xG8 shots · 3g
  4. John McGinn1.3 xG5 shots · 1g
  5. Leon Bailey1.0 xG4 shots · 1g

Chances created

who they supply
  1. Morgan Rogers1.1 xG9 shots · 4g
  2. Ross Barkley0.7 xG1 shot · 0g
  3. Amadou Onana0.6 xG1 shot · 1g
  4. Ian Maatsen0.3 xG1 shot · 1g
  5. Jacob Ramsey0.2 xG2 shots · 1g

Season record

Involvement in build-up

excludes their own shots and final passes

Ollie Watkins carries 2.6% of Aston Villa’s build-up value.

  • Build-up per 900.111
    13% of forwards
  • Possession value per 900.638
    57% of forwards

Ranked against 104 forwards with a comparable sample. Build-up is the value of possessions a player was involved in with their own shots and final passes removed, so it credits the work before the chance. It is a possession-value measure rather than a passing one: it cannot tell a forty-yard carry from two sideways balls, because no pass or carry record exists in this data.

Match log

most recent first
  • vs Tottenham
    3 shots2 OT
  • at Bournemouth1g
    1 shot1 OT
  • vs Fulham
    2 shots1 OT
  • vs Newcastle United1g
    5 shots1 OT
  • at Southampton1g
    1 shot1 OT
  • at Brentford1g
    4 shots2 OT
  • vs Chelsea
    4 shots2 OT
  • vs Liverpool1g
    1 shot1 OT
  • vs Ipswich1g
    4 shots1 OT
  • vs West Ham
    2 shots1 OT

Solid marks are on target, faded ones off. 9 further appearances produced no shot and are not listed, but are counted in the rates above.