Aston Villa · 2023/24
Leon Bailey
Leon Bailey ranks 19th of 402 qualified players for attacking involvement, shooting from 17.2m on average. They carry 14% of Aston Villa’s attacking output, the 2nd largest share in the squad.
This week
Next fixture
Gameweek 2vs Arsenal
Mon 31 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Arsenal concede 8.6 shots a match and are 0.63× the league norm against forwards. A difficult one.
- Projected shots
- 1.42
- Projected on target
- 0.35
2.26 per 90 × 0.63
0.77 per 90 × 0.46
Season rate multiplied by what this opponent concedes relative to the league. It assumes a full ninety minutes and takes no account of rotation, so check availability before reading anything into it.
Shots
35 appearances- Over 0.577%± 7
- Over 1.546%± 8
- Over 2.523%± 7
- Over 3.53%± 3
Share of appearances clearing each line, with one standard error. Blank appearances count as misses, 8 of 35 here, so these are lower, and more honest, than rates built only from matches where the player got a shot away.
Shots on target
35 appearances- Over 0.543%± 8
- Over 1.56%± 4
- Over 2.53%± 3
Share of appearances clearing each line, with one standard error. Blank appearances count as misses, 8 of 35 here, so these are lower, and more honest, than rates built only from matches where the player got a shot away.
Where the shots come from
Where they shoot
53 shotsLeon Bailey, 2023/24 · final 35m.
- left
- 9%
- Centre
- 46%
- right
- 45%
share of their shooting xG
Chance quality
xG per shot, distance, how they arrive- xG per shot
- 0.122
- Shots per 90
- 2.26
- Key passes per 90
- 2.17
- Average shot distance
- 17.2m
- From set pieces
- 6%
How their chances arrive
- Crosses
- 3%
- Through balls
- 1%
- Own dribble
- 1%
- Headed
- 3%
What they are for
Roles
penalties, set pieces, crossing, partnerships- Corners and set piecesSupplies 15% of Aston Villa’s dead-ball danger, from 10 deliveries that became shots.
- When it mattered4 of 10 goals came with the game level or Aston Villa behind.
- On the pitch62% of the minutes available to them.
Partnerships
- Feeds Ollie Watkins14 shots, 3.30 xG
- Feeds John McGinn7 shots, 1.57 xG
- Feeds Diego Carlos2 shots, 1.33 xG
- Fed by Moussa Diaby7 shots, 1.58 xG
A share of the attack says how much runs through Leon Bailey. These say what would have to be replaced. Losing the penalty taker or the corner deliverer is not the same as losing a proportional slice of output, and a partnership cuts both ways: the supplier being absent damages the finisher’s numbers too.
Who they play with
Chances received
who supplies them- Moussa Diaby1.6 xG7 shots · 1g
- Ollie Watkins1.3 xG6 shots · 4g
- Youri Tielemans0.8 xG6 shots · 2g
- Lucas Digne0.4 xG5 shots · 1g
- John McGinn0.2 xG4 shots · 0g
Chances created
who they supply- Ollie Watkins3.3 xG14 shots · 4g
- John McGinn1.6 xG7 shots · 2g
- Diego Carlos1.3 xG2 shots · 0g
- Moussa Diaby1.0 xG6 shots · 1g
- Jacob Ramsey0.9 xG5 shots · 0g
Season record
Involvement in build-up
excludes their own shots and final passesLeon Bailey carries 4.7% of Aston Villa’s build-up value.
- Build-up per 900.28467% of forwards
- Possession value per 900.76771% of forwards
Ranked against 107 forwards with a comparable sample. Build-up is the value of possessions a player was involved in with their own shots and final passes removed, so it credits the work before the chance. It is a possession-value measure rather than a passing one: it cannot tell a forty-yard carry from two sideways balls, because no pass or carry record exists in this data.
Match log
most recent first- 3 shots0 OTvs Liverpool
- 1 shot1 OTvs Chelsea
- 1 shot1 OTvs Bournemouth1g
- 1 shot1 OTat Arsenal1g
- 2 shots0 OTvs Brentford
- 1 shot0 OTvs Wolverhampton Wanderers
- 3 shots0 OTat West Ham
- 1 shot0 OTvs Tottenham
- 1 shot1 OTat Luton
- 3 shots2 OTvs Nottingham Forest1g
Solid marks are on target, faded ones off. 8 further appearances produced no shot and are not listed, but are counted in the rates above.